Your Flight
We analysed more than 11,500 data points along your route from Newark Liberty International Airport, Newark to Paris-Orly Airport, Paris (Orly, Val-de-Marne).
Icelandair (National Geographic Livery)
EWR
ORY
FI101
Icelandair (National Geographic Livery) · Live forecast
EWR
→
ORY
79
Calm Score
"Mostly smooth — one short bumpy section you'll handle."
8h 20m
Duration
3,163 nm
Distance
39,000 ft
Cruise Altitude
HIGH
Confidence
Turbulence comfort along route
Comfort score combines turbulence probability with intensity — higher means rougher
Smooth
Light
Moderate
Severe
Set an alert before your flight
Beta
You still have 18 hours before departure. We'll notify you if this forecast changes.
We know turbulence can feel scary — especially on long flights.
This report is built for you: what bumps feel like, when they happen, and why you'll be completely safe. 1 in 3 passengers feel exactly like you.
Right now on your route
Live pilot reports from aircraft flying EWR → ORY
15 pilot reports along this route
15 / 15
Reporting smooth
0 / 15
Light turbulence
0
Moderate or worse
Latest pilot reports
Smooth
ARP EIN1YL 5151N02212W 0452 F310 5200N02000W 0501 LIMRI MS49 240/96 KT EILRH DDL IG1 160452 J55A
2m ago
Smooth
ARP SVA3902 5223N03225W 0451 F370 5300N03000W 0501 5400N02000W MS46 214/74 KT 9HAKK QXT AOE 160451 F89A
3m ago
Smooth
ARP ACA898 5208N02902W 0451 F390 5300N02000W 0527 MALOT MS49 351/72 KT CFGDZ DDL XXN 160451 L93A
3m ago
Smooth
ARP ACA898 5209N02857W 0451 F390 5300N02000W 0527 MALOT MS49 351/74 KT CFGDZ DDL XXN 160451 L95A
3m ago
Smooth
ARP DAL66 5150N02209W 0451 F370 5158N02000W 0500 5158N01500W MS63 238/97 KT N414DZ DDL IG1 160451 J85A
3m ago
AI-powered flight briefing
11,500 data points analyzed
· HIGH confidence
Your Journey Beta
25 minutes and 4 hours 35 minutes into the flight: Some moderate bumps expected.
The crew may adjust altitude or ask you to stay seated during these sections.
The rest of the flight should be smooth.
Your route takes you over the Appalachian Mountains and crossing the North Atlantic Ocean – these areas can sometimes cause light turbulence.
Mostly Smooth
Overall conditions look mostly smooth with occasional light bumps. Nothing to worry about.
Takeoff
Takeoff should feel a bit bumpy initially, with calm conditions around the airport.
Winds Aloft
Winds at cruising altitude are about 72 knots. These winds are favorable and may get you there up to 48 minutes early.
Landing
Landing should feel smooth with possible light bumps with typical approach conditions.
You're in Safe Hands
If you feel nervous at any point, remember that turbulence is expected, safe, and part of normal flying. The crew is monitoring everything, and the aircraft is built to handle far more than anything you will feel. Have a safe and calm flight.
Relaxation Exercises
ZeroTurb Index (ZTI): Powered by our turbulence prediction algorithm combining atmospheric Richardson Number, wind shear analysis, temperature gradients, and geomagnetic activity. Learn more
Flight Timeline 8h 20min
Maximum turbulence expected per segment
Takeoff
Moderate
0:30-1:00
Light
1:00-1:30
Light
1:30-2:00
Light
2:00-2:30
Light
2:30-3:00
Light
3:00-3:29
Light
3:29-3:58
Light
3:58-4:27
Light
4:27-4:56
Moderate
4:56-5:25
Light
5:25-5:54
Light
5:54-6:23
Light
6:23-6:52
Light
6:52-7:21
Light
7:21-7:50
Light
Landing
Light
Smooth
Light
Moderate
Severe
Longer bars indicate higher turbulence intensity. Values shown are the maximum for each time segment.
Airport conditions
Live weather at departure and arrival
EWR
Newark Liberty International Airport — Departure
Wind
18 kt G35 (170°)
Sky
Overcast
Temperature
7°C
Conditions
VFR — Clear conditions, no delays expected
ORY
Paris-Orly Airport — Arrival
Wind
12 kt G22 (250°)
Sky
NSC
Temperature
8°C
Conditions
VFR — Clear conditions, no delays expected
Your flight details
Departure timing and aircraft information
Evening Flight Departure
Time of day
Evening Flight
Tip
Evening and night flights typically offer smoother conditions as thermal activity subsides and the atmosphere stabilizes after sunset.
When
Today
airbus a321-251nx(lr)
Category
Narrow-Body Aircraft
Size
Medium
Comfort
Single-aisle mainline jets like this offer a comfortable ride. While you may feel turbulence more than on wide-body aircraft, they are engineered to handle it smoothly.
Data sources & our approach
ZeroTurb's Custom Algorithm: Our proprietary
ZeroTurb Index (ZTI) combines three meteorological indices weighted by their
predictive accuracy — giving you transparent, passenger-focused turbulence probability instead
of vague categories.
This forecast integrates data from:
- ECMWF Open Data — Global atmospheric model (wind/temperature at 13 flight levels)
- NOAA Aviation Weather Center — Pilot Reports (PIREPs), SIGMETs/AIRMETs, TAFs
- NOAA Space Weather Prediction Center — Aurora forecasts for polar routes
- AviationStack API — Flight schedules and airline operational data
Disclaimer: This forecast is for informational purposes only. Always consult official aviation weather sources and follow ATC guidance.