Your Flight
We analysed more than 5,500 data points along your route from İstanbul Airport, Arnavutköy, Istanbul to Manchester Airport, Manchester, Greater Manchester.
Turkish Airlines
IST
MAN
TK1915
Turkish Airlines · Live forecast
IST
→
MAN
90
Calm Score
"A smooth ride ahead — sit back and enjoy."
4h 15m
Duration
1,440 nm
Distance
36,000 ft
Cruise Altitude
HIGH
Confidence
Turbulence comfort along route
Comfort score combines turbulence probability with intensity — higher means rougher
Smooth
Light
Moderate
Severe
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This flight has already departed.
We know turbulence can feel scary — especially on long flights.
This report is built for you: what bumps feel like, when they happen, and why you'll be completely safe. 1 in 3 passengers feel exactly like you.
AI-powered flight briefing
5,500 data points analyzed
· HIGH confidence
Your Journey Beta
A brief bumpy patch may occur during cruise. It's nothing to worry about - just keep your seatbelt fastened.
Your route takes you crossing the Black Sea, over the Carpathian Mountains, over the Alps, and crossing the North Sea – these areas can sometimes cause turbulence.
Smooth Flight
We're expecting smooth conditions throughout your flight. You can sit back and relax.
Takeoff
Takeoff should feel smooth, with calm conditions around the airport.
Winds Aloft
Winds at cruising altitude are about 41 knots. These winds may delay arrival by up to 16 minutes.
Landing
Landing should feel a bit bumpy on descent with typical approach conditions.
You're in Safe Hands
If you feel nervous at any point, remember that turbulence is expected, safe, and part of normal flying. The crew is monitoring everything, and the aircraft is built to handle far more than anything you will feel. Have a safe and calm flight.
Relaxation Exercises
ZeroTurb Index (ZTI): Powered by our turbulence prediction algorithm combining atmospheric Richardson Number, wind shear analysis, temperature gradients, and geomagnetic activity. Learn more
Flight Timeline 4h 15min
Maximum turbulence expected per segment
Takeoff
Smooth
0:20-0:47
Light
0:47-1:14
Light
1:14-1:41
Smooth
1:41-2:08
Light
2:08-2:35
Smooth
2:35-3:02
Light
3:02-3:29
Light
3:29-3:55
Moderate
Landing
Light
Smooth
Light
Moderate
Severe
Longer bars indicate higher turbulence intensity. Values shown are the maximum for each time segment.
Airport conditions
Live weather at departure and arrival
IST
İstanbul Airport — Departure
Wind
18 kt G28 (20°)
Sky
Broken
Temperature
11°C
Conditions
VFR — Clear conditions, no delays expected
MAN
Manchester Airport — Arrival
Wind
10 kt (210°)
Sky
Few
Temperature
11°C
Conditions
VFR — Clear conditions, no delays expected
Your flight details
Departure timing and aircraft information
Afternoon Flight Departure
Time of day
Afternoon Flight
Tip
Afternoon flights may encounter more turbulence due to thermal activity as the sun heats the ground, creating rising air currents.
When
Today
airbus a321-271nx
Category
Narrow-Body Aircraft
Size
Medium
Comfort
Single-aisle mainline jets like this offer a comfortable ride. While you may feel turbulence more than on wide-body aircraft, they are engineered to handle it smoothly.
Data sources & our approach
ZeroTurb's Custom Algorithm: Our proprietary
ZeroTurb Index (ZTI) combines three meteorological indices weighted by their
predictive accuracy — giving you transparent, passenger-focused turbulence probability instead
of vague categories.
This forecast integrates data from:
- ECMWF Open Data — Global atmospheric model (wind/temperature at 13 flight levels)
- NOAA Aviation Weather Center — Pilot Reports (PIREPs), SIGMETs/AIRMETs, TAFs
- NOAA Space Weather Prediction Center — Aurora forecasts for polar routes
- AviationStack API — Flight schedules and airline operational data
Disclaimer: This forecast is for informational purposes only. Always consult official aviation weather sources and follow ATC guidance.