Sa Avianca JFK GUA AV653
Sa Avianca
FLIGHT
AV653
JFK
John F Kennedy International Airport
02:45
17 Jan
Now: --:-- ES
4 h 5 m
GUA
La Aurora Airport
11:50
17 Jan
Altitude: 40,000ft (12.2km) Distance: 1,793 nm Duration: 4 h 5 m
ALTITUDE
40,000ft
DISTANCE
1,793 nm
DURATION
4 h 5 m
Times and gates subject to change. Verify with airline.
Turbulence Comfort Along Route Comfort View
Comfort Score: Combines turbulence probability (GTG forecast) with intensity (ZTI analysis). High scores indicate both high probability AND high intensity turbulence.
Smooth
Light
Moderate
Severe
Flight Smoothness Score
8.0 /10
Smoothness
Smooth Flight
21%
Smooth
78%
Light
1%
Moderate

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Your flight departs in less than 6 hours. The forecast is unlikely to change significantly at this point.

AI-Powered Flight Briefing
📊 6,500 data points analyzed HIGH Confidence
Your Flight

We analysed more than 6,500 data points along your route from John F Kennedy International Airport, New York to La Aurora Airport, Guatemala City.

Your Journey Beta

2 hours 20 minutes into the flight: Some moderate bumps expected.
The crew may adjust altitude or ask you to stay seated during these sections.
The rest of the flight should be smooth.

Your route takes you over the Appalachian Mountains and crossing the North Atlantic Ocean – these areas can sometimes cause light turbulence.

Mostly Smooth

Overall conditions look mostly smooth with occasional light bumps. Nothing to worry about.

Takeoff

Takeoff should feel smooth with possible light bumps, with calm conditions around the airport.

Winds Aloft

Winds at cruising altitude are about 78 knots. These winds may delay arrival by up to 39 minutes.

Landing

Landing should feel smooth with possible light bumps with typical approach conditions.

You're in Safe Hands

If you feel nervous at any point, remember that turbulence is expected, safe, and part of normal flying. The crew is monitoring everything, and the aircraft is built to handle far more than anything you will feel. Have a safe and calm flight.

Relaxation Exercises
ZeroTurb Index (ZTI): Powered by our proprietary turbulence prediction algorithm combining atmospheric Richardson Number, wind shear analysis, temperature gradients, and geomagnetic activity for precise, real-time forecasting. Learn more
Live data from ECMWF global forecast models • 12 atmospheric pressure levels analyzed • Updated every 6 hours
Flight Timeline 4h 05min
Maximum turbulence expected per segment
Takeoff
Light
0:20-0:50
Light
0:50-1:20
Light
1:20-1:49
Light
1:49-2:18
Light
2:18-2:47
Moderate
2:47-3:16
Light
3:16-3:45
Light
Landing
Light
Smooth
Light
Moderate
Severe
Longer bars indicate higher turbulence intensity. Values shown are the maximum for each time segment.
Turbulence Metrics ZTI and EDR (scaled)
ZTI Scale
Smooth
<12
Light
12-30
Moderate
30-45
Severe
>45
EDR Scale
Smooth
<6
Light
6-24
Moderate
24-42
Severe
>42

Airport Weather
Departure
JFK
At Departure
3°C (Now)
Broken • 11 kt • VFR — Clear conditions, no delays expected
Arrival
GUA
At Arrival
14°C (Now)
NSC • 12 kt • MVFR — Reduced visibility, minor delays possible
☀️ Morning Flight

Morning flights typically experience smoother conditions as the atmosphere is more stable and thermal turbulence hasn't yet developed.

Looking for more detailed analysis?

Data Sources & Our Approach
ZeroTurb's Custom Algorithm: We've developed a proprietary ZeroTurb Index (ZTI) algorithm that combines three meteorological indices weighted by their predictive accuracy. This gives you transparent, passenger-focused turbulence probability instead of vague categories.

This forecast integrates data from:

Disclaimer: This forecast is for informational purposes only. Always consult official aviation weather sources and follow ATC guidance.

How accurate are turbulence alerts? Alerts are based on updated forecast models and pilot reports, and can change as departure approaches.