Your Flight
We analysed more than 15,500 data points along your route from John F Kennedy International Airport, New York to İstanbul Airport, Arnavutköy, Istanbul.
Chrono Jet
JFK
IST
MB413
Chrono Jet · Live forecast
JFK
→
IST
87
Calm Score
"A smooth ride ahead — sit back and enjoy."
10h 30m
Duration
4,334 nm
Distance
39,000 ft
Cruise Altitude
HIGH
Confidence
Turbulence comfort along route
Comfort score combines turbulence probability with intensity, higher means rougher
Smooth
Light
Moderate
Severe
Set an alert before your flight
Beta
You still have 21 hours before departure. We'll notify you if this forecast changes.
We know turbulence can feel scary — especially on long flights.
This report is built for you: what bumps feel like, when they happen, and why you'll be completely safe. 1 in 3 passengers feel exactly like you.
Right now on your route
Live pilot reports from aircraft flying JFK → IST
15 pilot reports along this route
15 / 15
Reporting smooth
0 / 15
Light turbulence
0
Moderate or worse
Latest pilot reports
Smooth
ARP DAL16 4851N05146W 0147 F380 4900N05000W 0155 5100N04000W MS44 217/70 KT N423DX DDL YYT 170147 J19A
4m ago
Smooth
ARP ACA946 5159N04004W 0147 F390 5200N04000W 0147 5300N03000W MS56 225/39 KT CFSOC DDL IG1 170147 F06A
4m ago
Smooth
ARP KLM628 4936N05140W 0146 F380 5000N05000W 0154 5200N04000W MS43 211/65 KT PHAKA QXS YYT 170147 J62A
5m ago
Smooth
ARP GTI8825 5421N03722W 0146 F360 5400N04000W 0159 5400N05000W MS49 243/29 KT N429MC DDL XXN 170146 F82A
5m ago
Smooth
ARP TSC154 5116N05253W 0145 F330 5200N05000W 0159 5400N04000W MS45 198/58 KT CGOIO QXS YQX 170145 J26A
6m ago
AI-powered flight briefing
15,500 data points analyzed
· HIGH confidence
Your Journey Beta
1 hour and 4 hours into the flight: Some moderate bumps expected.
The crew may adjust altitude or ask you to stay seated during these sections.
The rest of the flight should be smooth.
Your route takes you over the Appalachian Mountains, crossing the North Atlantic Ocean, over the Alps, and over the Carpathian Mountains – these areas can sometimes cause turbulence.
Smooth Flight
We're expecting smooth conditions throughout your flight. You can sit back and relax.
Takeoff
Takeoff should feel smooth with possible light bumps, with calm conditions around the airport.
Winds Aloft
Winds at cruising altitude are about 42 knots. These winds are favorable and may get you there up to 35 minutes early.
Landing
Landing should feel a bit bumpy on descent with typical approach conditions.
You're in Safe Hands
If you feel nervous at any point, remember that turbulence is expected, safe, and part of normal flying. The crew is monitoring everything, and the aircraft is built to handle far more than anything you will feel. Have a safe and calm flight.
Relaxation Exercises
ZeroTurb Index (ZTI): Powered by our turbulence prediction algorithm combining atmospheric Richardson Number, wind shear analysis, temperature gradients, and geomagnetic activity. Learn more
Flight Timeline 10h 30min
Maximum turbulence expected per segment
Takeoff
Light
0:30-1:00
Light
1:00-1:30
Moderate
1:30-2:00
Light
2:00-2:30
Smooth
2:30-3:00
Light
3:00-3:30
Light
3:30-4:00
Moderate
4:00-4:30
Light
4:30-5:00
Light
5:00-5:30
Light
5:30-6:00
Smooth
6:00-6:30
Smooth
6:30-7:00
Smooth
7:00-7:30
Light
7:30-8:00
Smooth
8:00-8:30
Light
8:30-9:00
Light
9:00-9:30
Light
9:30-10:00
Moderate
Landing
Light
Smooth
Light
Moderate
Severe
Longer bars indicate higher turbulence intensity. Values shown are the maximum for each time segment.
Airport conditions
Live weather at departure and arrival
JFK
John F Kennedy International Airport — Departure
Visibility
2 mi
Wind
11 kt (210°)
Sky
Scattered
Temperature
29°C
Conditions
IFR — Low visibility, delays likely
IST
İstanbul Airport — Arrival
Wind
2 kt G18 (320°)
Sky
NSC
Temperature
23°C
Conditions
VFR — Clear conditions, no delays expected
Your flight details
Departure timing and aircraft information
Evening Flight Departure
Time of day
Evening Flight
Tip
Evening and night flights typically offer smoother conditions as thermal activity subsides and the atmosphere stabilizes after sunset.
When
Today
Data sources & our approach
ZeroTurb's Custom Algorithm: Our proprietary
ZeroTurb Index (ZTI) combines three meteorological indices weighted by their
predictive accuracy — giving you transparent, passenger-focused turbulence probability instead
of vague categories.
This forecast integrates data from:
- ECMWF Open Data — Global atmospheric model (wind/temperature at 13 flight levels)
- NOAA Aviation Weather Center — Pilot Reports (PIREPs), SIGMETs/AIRMETs, TAFs
- NOAA Space Weather Prediction Center — Aurora forecasts for polar routes
- AviationStack API — Flight schedules and airline operational data
Disclaimer: This forecast is for informational purposes only. Always consult official aviation weather sources and follow ATC guidance.