Your Flight
We analysed more than 3,500 data points along your route from Chicago O'Hare International Airport, Chicago to Tampa International Airport, Tampa.
Frontier Airlines
ORD
TPA
F91416
Frontier Airlines · Live forecast
ORD
→
TPA
71
Calm Score
"Mostly smooth — one short bumpy section you'll handle."
4h 0m
Duration
881 nm
Distance
35,000 ft
Cruise Altitude
VERY HIGH
Confidence
Turbulence comfort along route
Comfort score combines turbulence probability with intensity — higher means rougher
Smooth
Light
Moderate
Severe
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Beta
You still have 21 hours before departure. We'll notify you if this forecast changes.
We know turbulence can feel scary — especially on long flights.
This report is built for you: what bumps feel like, when they happen, and why you'll be completely safe. 1 in 3 passengers feel exactly like you.
Right now on your route
Live pilot reports from aircraft flying ORD → TPA
15 pilot reports along this route
11 / 15
Reporting smooth
2 / 15
Light turbulence
2
Moderate or worse
Latest pilot reports
Smooth
LEX UUA /OV LEX/TM 0040/FLDURGD/TP CRJ7/RM LLWS +20 KTS ON FINAL
4m ago
Smooth
EVV UA /OV OWB/TM 0038/FLUNKN/TP CRJ2/RM LLWS +/-15 KT DURD RY18 OWB
6m ago
Smooth
OWB UUA /OV OWB/TM 0036/FLUNKN/TP CRJ2/RM LLWS +/-15 KT SFC-008 DURD RY18 OWB
8m ago
Smooth
RHP UA /OV HRS/TM 0036/FL210/TP PC12/SK BASE/RM ZTLFD 49
8m ago
Smooth
MDW UA /OV MDW/TM 0032/FL025/TP B737/WX FV04SM
12m ago
AI-powered flight briefing
3,500 data points analyzed
· VERY HIGH confidence
Your Journey Beta
1 hour 10 minutes, 1 hour 35 minutes, and 2 hours into the flight: Some moderate bumps expected.
The crew may adjust altitude or ask you to stay seated during these sections.
The rest of the flight should be smooth.
Your route takes you over the Appalachian Mountains and crossing the Gulf of Mexico – these areas can sometimes cause light turbulence.
Mostly Smooth
Overall conditions look mostly smooth with occasional light bumps. Nothing to worry about.
Takeoff
Takeoff should feel a bit bumpy initially, with calm conditions around the airport.
Winds Aloft
Winds at cruising altitude are about 90 knots. These winds may delay arrival by up to 18 minutes.
Landing
Landing should feel smooth with possible light bumps with typical approach conditions.
You're in Safe Hands
If you feel nervous at any point, remember that turbulence is expected, safe, and part of normal flying. The crew is monitoring everything, and the aircraft is built to handle far more than anything you will feel. Have a safe and calm flight.
Relaxation Exercises
ZeroTurb Index (ZTI): Powered by our turbulence prediction algorithm combining atmospheric Richardson Number, wind shear analysis, temperature gradients, and geomagnetic activity. Learn more
Flight Timeline 4h 00min
Maximum turbulence expected per segment
Takeoff
Moderate
0:20-0:49
Light
0:49-1:18
Moderate
1:18-1:47
Moderate
1:47-2:16
Moderate
2:16-2:44
Light
2:44-3:12
Light
3:12-3:40
Light
Landing
Light
Smooth
Light
Moderate
Severe
Longer bars indicate higher turbulence intensity. Values shown are the maximum for each time segment.
Airport conditions
Live weather at departure and arrival
ORD
Chicago O'Hare International Airport — Departure
Visibility
5 mi
Wind
20 kt G32 (300°)
Sky
Overcast
Temperature
2°C
Conditions
IFR — Low visibility, delays likely
TPA
Tampa International Airport — Arrival
Visibility
2 mi
Wind
11 kt G22 (200°)
Sky
Broken
Temperature
21°C
Conditions
IFR — Low visibility, delays likely
Your flight details
Departure timing and aircraft information
Evening Flight Departure
Time of day
Evening Flight
Tip
Evening and night flights typically offer smoother conditions as thermal activity subsides and the atmosphere stabilizes after sunset.
When
Today
Data sources & our approach
ZeroTurb's Custom Algorithm: Our proprietary
ZeroTurb Index (ZTI) combines three meteorological indices weighted by their
predictive accuracy — giving you transparent, passenger-focused turbulence probability instead
of vague categories.
This forecast integrates data from:
- ECMWF Open Data — Global atmospheric model (wind/temperature at 13 flight levels)
- NOAA Aviation Weather Center — Pilot Reports (PIREPs), SIGMETs/AIRMETs, TAFs
- NOAA Space Weather Prediction Center — Aurora forecasts for polar routes
- AviationStack API — Flight schedules and airline operational data
Disclaimer: This forecast is for informational purposes only. Always consult official aviation weather sources and follow ATC guidance.