Your Flight
We analysed more than 13,000 data points along your route from Paris-Orly Airport, Paris (Orly, Val-de-Marne) to Princess Juliana International Airport, Sint Maarten.
Air Caraibes
ORY
SXM
TX537
Air Caraibes · Live forecast
ORY
→
SXM
Also sold as:
85
Calm Score
"A smooth ride ahead — sit back and enjoy."
5h 0m
Duration
3,630 nm
Distance
40,000 ft
Cruise Altitude
HIGH
Confidence
Turbulence comfort along route
Comfort score combines turbulence probability with intensity — higher means rougher
Smooth
Light
Moderate
Severe
Notifications not available
This flight has already departed.
We know turbulence can feel scary — especially on long flights.
This report is built for you: what bumps feel like, when they happen, and why you'll be completely safe. 1 in 3 passengers feel exactly like you.
Right now on your route
Live pilot reports from aircraft flying ORY → SXM
8 pilot reports along this route
8 / 8
Reporting smooth
0 / 8
Light turbulence
0
Moderate or worse
Latest pilot reports
Smooth
ARP AFR770 4804N00955W 1005 F340 4802N01500W 1031 4802N02000W MS57 210/33 KT FGSQO QXS LEQ 211005 F16A
4m ago
Smooth
ARP AFR770 4800N00815W 0956 F340 ETIKI 0958 4800N01500W MS57 227/28 KT FGSQO QXS LEQ 210956 F12A
13m ago
Smooth
ARP AFR836 4554N00915W 0956 F340 PASAS 1018 4200N02000W MS58 198/56 KT FGSPG QXS LCG 210956 F11A
13m ago
Smooth
ARP EXS3SA 4853N00854W 0955 F360 4836N00900W 0958 BEGAS MS61 222/30 KT GJZHU DDL BYT 210955 M15A
14m ago
Smooth
ARP AFR770 4805N00721W 0951 F340 REGHI 0954 ETIKI MS57 245/26 KT FGSQO QXS LEQ 210951 F10A
18m ago
AI-powered flight briefing
13,000 data points analyzed
· HIGH confidence
Your Journey Beta
2 hours 15 minutes and 2 hours 20 minutes into the flight: Some moderate bumps expected.
The crew may adjust altitude or ask you to stay seated during these sections.
The rest of the flight should be smooth.
Your route takes you crossing the North Atlantic Ocean – conditions there can sometimes cause light turbulence.
Smooth Flight
We're expecting smooth conditions throughout your flight. You can sit back and relax.
Takeoff
Takeoff should feel smooth with possible light bumps, with calm conditions around the airport.
Winds Aloft
Winds at cruising altitude are about 34 knots. These winds may delay arrival by up to 15 minutes.
Landing
Landing should feel smooth with typical approach conditions.
You're in Safe Hands
If you feel nervous at any point, remember that turbulence is expected, safe, and part of normal flying. The crew is monitoring everything, and the aircraft is built to handle far more than anything you will feel. Have a safe and calm flight.
Relaxation Exercises
ZeroTurb Index (ZTI): Powered by our turbulence prediction algorithm combining atmospheric Richardson Number, wind shear analysis, temperature gradients, and geomagnetic activity. Learn more
Flight Timeline 5h 00min
Maximum turbulence expected per segment
Takeoff
Light
0:30-1:00
Light
1:00-1:30
Light
1:30-2:00
Light
2:00-2:30
Moderate
2:30-3:00
Light
3:00-3:30
Smooth
3:30-4:00
Light
4:00-4:30
Light
Landing
Light
Smooth
Light
Moderate
Severe
Longer bars indicate higher turbulence intensity. Values shown are the maximum for each time segment.
Airport conditions
Live weather at departure and arrival
ORY
Paris-Orly Airport — Departure
Wind
12 kt (20°)
Sky
NSC
Temperature
13°C
Conditions
VFR — Clear conditions, no delays expected
SXM
Princess Juliana International Airport — Arrival
Wind
11 kt (90°)
Sky
Few
Temperature
25°C
Conditions
VFR — Clear conditions, no delays expected
Your flight details
Departure timing and aircraft information
Morning Flight Departure
Time of day
Morning Flight
Tip
Morning flights typically experience smoother conditions as the atmosphere is more stable and thermal turbulence hasn't yet developed.
When
Today
Data sources & our approach
ZeroTurb's Custom Algorithm: Our proprietary
ZeroTurb Index (ZTI) combines three meteorological indices weighted by their
predictive accuracy — giving you transparent, passenger-focused turbulence probability instead
of vague categories.
This forecast integrates data from:
- ECMWF Open Data — Global atmospheric model (wind/temperature at 13 flight levels)
- NOAA Aviation Weather Center — Pilot Reports (PIREPs), SIGMETs/AIRMETs, TAFs
- NOAA Space Weather Prediction Center — Aurora forecasts for polar routes
- AviationStack API — Flight schedules and airline operational data
Disclaimer: This forecast is for informational purposes only. Always consult official aviation weather sources and follow ATC guidance.