Alaska Airlines PHX PAE AS731
Alaska Airlines · Live forecast
PHX → PAE
AS731 · Mar 16, 2026 · 14:16 MS
74
Calm Score
"Mostly smooth — one short bumpy section you'll handle."
3h 14m
Duration
985 nm
Distance
36,000 ft
Cruise Altitude
HIGH
Confidence
Turbulence comfort along route
Comfort score combines turbulence probability with intensity — higher means rougher
Smooth Light Moderate Severe
Set an alert before your flight Beta
You still have 10 hours before departure. We'll notify you if this forecast changes.
💙
We know turbulence can feel scary — especially on long flights. This report is built for you: what bumps feel like, when they happen, and why you'll be completely safe. 1 in 3 passengers feel exactly like you.
Right now on your route
Live pilot reports from aircraft flying PHX → PAE
1 pilot report along this route
0 / 1
Reporting smooth
1 / 1
Light turbulence
0
Moderate or worse
Latest pilot reports
Light
ARP UAL552 3516N 11133W 1001 F370 346/084KT TB CONT LGT CHOP IC RM B38M OV 3516N11133W FL370
22m ago
AI-powered flight briefing
3,500 data points analyzed · HIGH confidence
Your Flight

We analysed more than 3,500 data points along your route from Phoenix Sky Harbor International Airport, Phoenix to Seattle Paine Field International Airport, Everett.

Your Journey Beta

Some bumpy patches are scattered throughout the flight. Keep your seatbelt fastened when seated.

Your route takes you across the Sonoran Desert – conditions there can sometimes cause light turbulence.

Mostly Smooth

Overall conditions look mostly smooth with occasional light bumps. Nothing to worry about.

Takeoff

Takeoff should feel smooth with possible light bumps, with calm conditions around the airport.

Winds Aloft

Winds at cruising altitude are about 86 knots. These winds may delay arrival by up to 29 minutes.

Landing

Landing should feel a bit bumpy on descent with typical approach conditions.

You're in Safe Hands

If you feel nervous at any point, remember that turbulence is expected, safe, and part of normal flying. The crew is monitoring everything, and the aircraft is built to handle far more than anything you will feel. Have a safe and calm flight.

Relaxation Exercises
ZeroTurb Index (ZTI): Powered by our turbulence prediction algorithm combining atmospheric Richardson Number, wind shear analysis, temperature gradients, and geomagnetic activity. Learn more
Live data from ECMWF global forecast models · 12 atmospheric pressure levels · Updated every 6 hours
Flight Timeline 3h 14min
Maximum turbulence expected per segment
Takeoff
Light
0:20-0:46
Light
0:46-1:12
Light
1:12-1:38
Light
1:38-2:04
Light
2:04-2:29
Light
2:29-2:54
Moderate
Landing
Moderate
Smooth
Light
Moderate
Severe
Longer bars indicate higher turbulence intensity. Values shown are the maximum for each time segment.
Airport conditions
Live weather at departure and arrival
PHX Phoenix Sky Harbor International Airport — Departure
Wind
6 kt (290°)
Sky
Scattered
Temperature
22°C
Conditions
VFR — Clear conditions, no delays expected
PAE Seattle Paine Field International Airport — Arrival
Wind
15 kt G25 (160°)
Sky
Overcast
Temperature
6°C
Conditions
VFR — Clear conditions, no delays expected
Your flight details
Departure timing and aircraft information
Evening Flight Departure
Time of day
Evening Flight
Tip
Evening and night flights typically offer smoother conditions as thermal activity subsides and the atmosphere stabilizes after sunset.
When
Today
Data sources & our approach
ZeroTurb's Custom Algorithm: Our proprietary ZeroTurb Index (ZTI) combines three meteorological indices weighted by their predictive accuracy — giving you transparent, passenger-focused turbulence probability instead of vague categories.

This forecast integrates data from:

Disclaimer: This forecast is for informational purposes only. Always consult official aviation weather sources and follow ATC guidance.