Your Flight
We analysed more than 11,000 data points along your route from Toronto Lester B. Pearson International Airport, Toronto to Manchester Airport, Manchester, Greater Manchester.
Air Transat
YYZ
MAN
TS206
Air Transat · Live forecast
YYZ
→
MAN
77
Calm Score
"Mostly smooth — one short bumpy section you'll handle."
6h 55m
Duration
2,976 nm
Distance
39,000 ft
Cruise Altitude
HIGH
Confidence
Turbulence comfort along route
Comfort score combines turbulence probability with intensity — higher means rougher
Smooth
Light
Moderate
Severe
Set an alert before your flight
Beta
You still have 13 hours before departure. We'll notify you if this forecast changes.
We know turbulence can feel scary — especially on long flights.
This report is built for you: what bumps feel like, when they happen, and why you'll be completely safe. 1 in 3 passengers feel exactly like you.
Right now on your route
Live pilot reports from aircraft flying YYZ → MAN
15 pilot reports along this route
15 / 15
Reporting smooth
0 / 15
Light turbulence
0
Moderate or worse
Latest pilot reports
Smooth
ARP UAL71 5554N01409W 1024 F340 PIKIL 1029 5700N02000W MS56 258/103 KT N685UA DDL BLY 161024 F04A
4m ago
Smooth
ARP UAL958 5534N02425W 1023 F320 5601N03000W 1050 5501N04000W MS46 218/109 KT N665UA DDL XXF 161023 F76A
5m ago
Smooth
ARP ACA801 5442N 03403W 1022 F400 M43 249/32 5400N 04000W 1049 5200N 05000W KT CFRSI DDL XXN 161022 L46A
6m ago
Smooth
ARP ACA7059 5547N01405W 1022 F400 PIKIL 1027 5701N01959W MS54 251/62 KT CFVLQ DDL TRE 161022 L14A
6m ago
Smooth
ARP ACA875 5618N 02157W 1021 F380 M51 219/84 5702N 03000W 1058 5602N 04001W KT CGXZD DDL XXF 161021 J01A
7m ago
AI-powered flight briefing
11,000 data points analyzed
· HIGH confidence
Your Journey Beta
37 minutes and 4 hours 45 minutes into the flight: Some moderate bumps expected.
The crew may adjust altitude or ask you to stay seated during these sections.
The rest of the flight should be smooth.
Your route takes you over the Appalachian Mountains and crossing the North Atlantic Ocean – these areas can sometimes cause light turbulence.
Mostly Smooth
Overall conditions look mostly smooth with occasional light bumps. Nothing to worry about.
Takeoff
Takeoff should feel smooth with possible light bumps, with calm conditions around the airport.
Winds Aloft
Winds at cruising altitude are about 76 knots. These winds are favorable and may get you there up to 46 minutes early.
Landing
Landing should feel a bit bumpy on descent with typical approach conditions.
You're in Safe Hands
If you feel nervous at any point, remember that turbulence is expected, safe, and part of normal flying. The crew is monitoring everything, and the aircraft is built to handle far more than anything you will feel. Have a safe and calm flight.
Relaxation Exercises
ZeroTurb Index (ZTI): Powered by our turbulence prediction algorithm combining atmospheric Richardson Number, wind shear analysis, temperature gradients, and geomagnetic activity. Learn more
Flight Timeline 6h 55min
Maximum turbulence expected per segment
Takeoff
Light
0:30-1:00
Moderate
1:00-1:30
Light
1:30-2:00
Light
2:00-2:30
Light
2:30-3:00
Light
3:00-3:30
Light
3:30-4:00
Light
4:00-4:29
Light
4:29-4:58
Moderate
4:58-5:27
Light
5:27-5:56
Light
5:56-6:25
Light
Landing
Moderate
Smooth
Light
Moderate
Severe
Longer bars indicate higher turbulence intensity. Values shown are the maximum for each time segment.
Airport conditions
Live weather at departure and arrival
YYZ
Toronto Lester B. Pearson International Airport — Departure
Visibility
10+ mi
Wind
15 kt G25 (250°)
Sky
Overcast
Temperature
11°C
Conditions
VFR — Clear conditions, no delays expected
MAN
Manchester Airport — Arrival
Wind
8 kt (210°)
Sky
Broken
Temperature
8°C
Conditions
VFR — Clear conditions, no delays expected
Your flight details
Departure timing and aircraft information
Evening Flight Departure
Time of day
Evening Flight
Tip
Evening and night flights typically offer smoother conditions as thermal activity subsides and the atmosphere stabilizes after sunset.
When
Tomorrow — conditions may change
Data sources & our approach
ZeroTurb's Custom Algorithm: Our proprietary
ZeroTurb Index (ZTI) combines three meteorological indices weighted by their
predictive accuracy — giving you transparent, passenger-focused turbulence probability instead
of vague categories.
This forecast integrates data from:
- ECMWF Open Data — Global atmospheric model (wind/temperature at 13 flight levels)
- NOAA Aviation Weather Center — Pilot Reports (PIREPs), SIGMETs/AIRMETs, TAFs
- NOAA Space Weather Prediction Center — Aurora forecasts for polar routes
- AviationStack API — Flight schedules and airline operational data
Disclaimer: This forecast is for informational purposes only. Always consult official aviation weather sources and follow ATC guidance.